Ahead of this week’s RBNZ policy meeting, our survey finds that offshore clients are more dovish than those onshore. Both groups are more dovish than the RBNZ. Market participants see an earlier start to RBNZ easing than RBNZ and Westpac…
Gold reached a new record high today, fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the prospect of easing policies from major central banks this year. Investors are flocking to the safe-haven asset following a series…
China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged at today’s monthly fixing, aligning with market expectations. One-year Loan Prime Rate remained at 3.45%, while Five-year LPR stayed at 3.95%. This decision follows the People’s Bank of…
Key Highlights EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0820 resistance. A key bullish trend line is forming with support at 1.0825 on the 4-hour chart. Gold price rallied above the $2,400 resistance zone. Bitcoin climbed higher and…
Silver broke multi-year resistance level 29.50 Likely to reach resistance level 32.00 Silver recently broke the key multi-year resistance level 29.50 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of 2020, as can be seen from the…
Brent crude oil reversed from key support level 81.00 Likely to test resistance level 84.00 Brent crude oil recently reversed up from the key support level 81.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of February) intersecting…
EUR/USD: Weak Inflation = Weak USD The American currency suffered two significant blows last week. Although these were not knockdowns, let alone knockouts, these minor shocks pushed the DXY Dollar Index down from 105.26 to 104.20 points,…
Risk-on sentiment dominated global financial markets last week, with investors buoyed by US inflation report that alleviated fears of another interest rate hike by Fed. The DOW defied gravity and surged to a new record high above the 40k…
EUR/USD’s rally from 1.0601 resumed last week and further to 1.0894 before retreating. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0810 resistance turned support holds. Break of 1…
USD/JPY fell sharply after edging higher to 156.78 but recovered again after hitting 153.59. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Price actions from 160.20 are seen as a corrective pattern. On the upside break of 156.78 will…
GBP/USD’s rise from 1.2298 resumed by breaking through 1.2633 last week. Initial bias is now on the upside this week. Firm break of 1.2708 resistance will target 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2633 from 1.2445 at 1.2780. On the downside,…
USD/CHF rebounded strongly after edging lower to 0.8987 last week, but upside is capped below 0.9101 resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9101 will argue that corrective fall from 0.9223…
AUD/USD’s rally from 0.6361 resumed last week but retreated after hitting 0.6713. Initial bias remains neutral for some consolidations. Further rally is expected as long as 0.6578 support holds. As noted before, fall from 0.6870 has…
USD/CAD edged lower to 1.3589 last week but recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is in favor as long as 1.3689 resistance holds. Break of 1.3589 will resume whole fall from 1.3845 and target 100%…
GBP/JPY’s rebound from 191.34 continued last week despite interim retreat. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 200.53 resistance. On the downside, break of 195.02 support will argue that corrective pattern from 200.53 has…
EUR/JPY retreated after rising further to 169.38 last week but then recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is expected. Break of 169.38 will resume the rally from 164.01, as the second leg of the…
EUR/GBP’s fall last week argues that rebound from 0.8529 has completed at 0.8619 already. Initial bias remain the downside this week for 0.8529 support first. Decisive break there will that larger down trend is ready to resume through 0…
EUR/AUD stayed in sideway trading above 1.6216 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further decline is expected. Break of 1.6216 will resume the fall from 1.6742, as the third leg of the…
EUR/CHF’s rally from 0.9252 resumed by breaking through 0.9847 resistance last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9899. Decisive break there could prompt upside…
U.S. Highlights After three consecutive months of hotter-than-expected inflation, consumer prices in the U.S. finally broke the heat streak in April, with headline and core inflation decelerating. Retail sales also lost momentum in April,…
Summary United States: Let’s Wait and See There was no shortage of economic data this week, but little did much to change the macro landscape. The April inflation data were a step in the right direction, and if sustained, we see the first…
Next week’s Canadian April inflation report will be the last major data release before the Bank of Canada’s next interest rate decision on June 5th. Absent an upside surprise, we think the soft conditions in the economy and labour markets…
After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, minutes on tap No fireworks expected from RBNZ policy…
Short Term Elliott Wave in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests the metal rallies in impulsive structure from 10.3.2023 low. Up from there, wave (1) ended at 25.91 and dip sin wave (2) ended at 21.94. The metal then extended higher in wave (3) towards…
Markets Several ECB policymakers hit the wires today, including Holzmann, de Guindos and heavyweight Schnabel. As a loyal hawk it was no surprise for Holzmann to caution against easing before the central bank is certain of inflation’s…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.15; (P) 154.84; (R1) 156.08; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 160.20 are seen as a corrective pattern. On the upside break of 156.78 will resume the rise…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9013; (P) 0.9038; (R1) 0.9088; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9101 resistance holds. Break of 0.8987 will resume the whole fall from 0.9223 and…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2642; (P) 1.2672; (R1) 1.2699; More… GBP/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.2669 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 1.2445 support holds. Break of 1.2708 resistance will pave…