Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.59; (P) 194.05; (R1) 194.83; More.. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is mildly on the upside with break of 55 4H EMA. Pull back from 200.53 should have completed at 191.34. Rebound from there is seen as the second leg of the…
Yen continues to underperform as the worst for the week at this point, even in face of Japan’s verbal interventions. As Yen breached 155 mark against Dollar again, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated his concerns over the…
As BoE meets today, expectations are set for interest rate to remain unchanged at 5.25%. The focal point for investors, however, is any signal from regarding rate cuts. Financial markets have already fully priced in a first 25bps by August…
China’s trade figures for April showcased significant recovery, with exports increasing by 1.5% yoy to USD 292.5 B, exceeding the expected 1.0% yoy growth. This rebound is particularly noteworthy given the -7.5% yoy decline observed in…
Summary of Opinions from BoJ’s April meeting revealed a notable hawkish tilt among its board members, with significant dialogue concerning further rate hikes. This development reflects a growing concern over inflationary pressures and the…
In Japan, real wages fell notably by -2.5% yoy in March, marking a worsening trend from the previous month’s -1.8% yoy. It also extended the streak of declines to 24 consecutive months—the longest since such data was first recorded in 1991…
Key Highlights Crude oil prices declined further below the $80.00 support. A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $79.60 on the 4-hour chart. Gold prices are consolidating below the $2,335 resistance. Bitcoin prices…
Boston Fed President Susan Collins described current monetary policy as “well positioned” to adapt based on new economic data and the evolving economic outlook. She is “optimistic” that Fed can achieve 2% inflation target in a “reasonable…
AUDJPY reversed from support area Likely to rise to resistance level 103.00 AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area lying between the round support level 100.45 (former strong resistance from April), 20-day moving…
WTI crude oil reversed from support area Likely to rise to resistance level 80.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support area lying between the pivotal support level 77.00 (which has been reversing the…
Summary A string of uncomfortably-hot inflation readings in the first quarter leaves a narrow window for inflation to downshift before a late summer rate cut by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is no longer on the table. We expect…
In an interview published today, ECB Governing Council member Robert Holzmann indicated that while he is open to rate cut in June, “I see absolutely no reason for us to cut key interest rates too quickly, too strongly,” he said. Holzmann…
Speaking in Frankfurt, ECB Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch indicated the even though the outlook remains “foggy”, he saw a “path for initiating rate cuts this year.” He added that the upcoming June meeting would provide clearer…
German industrial production continues to decline. The rate of contraction in March was slightly better than the average forecasts but maintained the downward trend. The index of industrial production fell by 0.4% in March and by 3.3% y/y,…
US indices have been gaining daily since the beginning of May. They have found strength amid relatively weak job reports and quite upbeat quarterly earnings. The S&P500 and Nasdaq100 indices are just 1.5% below the all-time highs set in…
Markets In yet another dull trading day the weak SEK (cf. below) and JPY stand out. The yen is not impressed by Ueda ramping up warnings. It began in Asian dealings, where the BoJ governor said that a policy response (i.e. rate hike) could…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.11; (P) 154.43; (R1) 155.01; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 151.86 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 160.20 high. Further rise would be…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9061; (P) 0.9078; (R1) 0.9100; More…. No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9099) holds. On the downside, break of 0.9005 and…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2481; (P) 1.2528; (R1) 1.2554; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. Further rally is in favor with 1.2471 support intact. On the upside, above 1.2633 will resume the rebound from 1.2298 to 1.2708…
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0739; (P) 1.0764; (R1) 1.0779; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. More consolidations could be seen below 1.0810. Further rally is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0731) holds. On the…
The financial markets are relatively quiet entering into US session. Despite a significant downturn in Japanese equities earlier, European markets have remained resilient, with major indices post modest gains. In the commodities sector,…
USD/CAD has edged higher on Wednesday and is up 0.25%, trading at 1.3760 at the time of writing. Canada’s Ivey PMI climbed sharply in April to 63.0, up from 57.5 in March and beating the forecast of 58.1. This marked the highest level…
WTI crude oil is extending its near term decline today on expectation of higher production and lower demand ahead. If WTI cannot reclaim 80 mark in short term, there is prospect of downside acceleration through 70 next. In its latest…
EURJPY recoups previous losses Rebounds off ascending trend line Surpasses short-term SMAs Oscillators gain momentum EURJPY is flirting with the 167.00 round number after the bounce off the long-term rising trend line and the 164.00 handle…
WTI oil futures fall to two-month low on rising US stockpiles Short-term risk bearish, but market could be oversold A clear close below 77.44 could activate fresh selling WTI oil futures slid to a two-month low of 76.99 on Wednesday after…
WTI oil price fell in early Wednesday as unexpected rise in US crude inventories further soured the sentiment on rising demand concerns. Fresh weakness emerged below the base of rising daily Ichimoku cloud and broke through pivots at $78…
The Japanese yen is down for a third straight day and has declined 1.5% this week. USD/JPY has risen 0.43% on the day and is trading at 155.35 at the time of writing. Early Thursday, the BoJ will release the Summary of Opinions from the…
Market picture The crypto market has lost 2% of its capitalisation over the last 24 hours to $2.29 trillion. Bitcoin is losing 1.8%, Ethereum – 1.7%. Among the top altcoins, Solana is experiencing the biggest decline of 4%, while BNB has…
Following its decision on 7th May, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) opted to maintain the interest rate at 4.35%, despite inflation continuing to decrease at a slower pace than anticipated by the RBA. “I think we still think they’re…